J-League Cup · Round of 32
Sagan TosuvsAvispa Fukuoka
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J-League Cup
- Venue
- Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka: match review and analysis
Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka in J-League Cup on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Sagan Tosu recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Avispa Fukuoka recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sagan Tosu | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sagan Tosu: (0.84 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Avispa Fukuoka: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sagan Tosu recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ-League Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Vissel KobeEmperor Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nara ClubJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sagan Tosu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Avispa Fukuoka recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yokohama FCEmperor Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| OsakaJ-League Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mito HollyhockJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UrawaJ1 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Verspah OitaEmperor Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KashimaJ1 League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Avispa Fukuoka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J-League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.