Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 31
Trans NarvavsKuressaare
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Meistriliiga
- Venue
- Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare: match review and analysis
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare in Meistriliiga on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Trans Narva recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Kuressaare recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 23 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Trans Narva | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Trans Narva: (1.58 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kuressaare: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Trans Narva recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VaprusMeistriliiga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kalju NommeMeistriliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KuressaareMeistriliiga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kalju NommeCup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| PaideMeistriliiga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kompanii MarjamaaCup | Home | 8–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Trans Narva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kuressaare recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Saku SportingCup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| LaagriMeistriliiga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Trans NarvaMeistriliiga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| VaprusMeistriliiga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TammekaMeistriliiga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Flora TallinnMeistriliiga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kristiine JKCup | Away | 8–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kuressaare’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Meistriliiga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kuressaare are ranked 8 in Meistriliiga, with 32 points from 30 games.
Trans Narva are ranked 10 in Meistriliiga, with 20 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 21 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Laagri | 31 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 32 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 31 | 9 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 28 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 67 | -43 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.