III Liga - Group 1 · Group I - 11
Jagiellonia IIvsTroszyn
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn: match review and analysis
Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn in III Liga - Group 1 on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Jagiellonia II recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 20. Troszyn recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Jagiellonia II | Troszyn |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Jagiellonia II: (2.34 weighted goals scored + 1.96 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Troszyn: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 2.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Jagiellonia II recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ŁKS Łódź IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 7–4 | Won | |
| ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WeszloIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Pelikan ŁowiczIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Jagiellonia II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Troszyn recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ŁKS Łódź IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| WeszloIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Pelikan ŁowiczIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Troszyn’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Jagiellonia II are ranked 9 in Group I, with 16 points from 11 games.
Troszyn are ranked 17 in Group I, with 7 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan Łowicz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Wisła Płock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Olimpia Zambrów | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | ŁKS Łódź II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Widzew II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 14 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Mławianka Mława | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 | Łomża | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.