AGCFF Gulf Champions League · Group Stage - 1
FULL-TIME
Ajman5–4Erbil
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- AGCFF Gulf Champions League
- Venue
- Ajman Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 5–4
- 90-minute score
- 5–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Ajman vs Erbil: match review and analysis
Ajman vs Erbil in AGCFF Gulf Champions League on 14 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 5–4. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ajman recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 18. Erbil recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 16 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ajman | Erbil |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ajman: (2.20 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Erbil: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ajman recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baniyas SCLeague Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al AinLeague Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Sharjah FCLeague Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Al-Ittihad KalbaPro League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Al NasrPro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-JaziraPro League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Hatta SCPro League | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Al Wahda FCPro League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Sloga DobojFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| AkhmatFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ajman’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Erbil recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KarbalaIraqi League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Al-KarmaIraqi League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Al KarkhIraqi League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al KahrabaaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BaghdadIraqi League | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Erbil’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
AGCFF Gulf Champions League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.