Esiliiga B · Regular Season - 32
FULL-TIME
Parnu JK Vaprus U212–1JK Tabasalu
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Esiliiga B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs JK Tabasalu: match review and analysis
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs JK Tabasalu in Esiliiga B on 14 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 37 and conceding 14. JK Tabasalu recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 28 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | JK Tabasalu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 37 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 28 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21: (4.23 weighted goals scored + 2.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
JK Tabasalu: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 recent form
3.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev IIEsiliiga B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LegionEsiliiga B | Home | 12–0 | Won | |
| Tartu KalevEsiliiga B | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Tallinna Kalev IIEsiliiga B | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| LegionEsiliiga B | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| JK TabasaluEsiliiga B | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| TulevikEsiliiga B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tartu KalevEsiliiga B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LuunjaEsiliiga B | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Parnu JK Vaprus U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
JK Tabasalu recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LuunjaEsiliiga B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LegionEsiliiga B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tallinna Kalev IIEsiliiga B | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| LuunjaEsiliiga B | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Narva U21Esiliiga B | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21Esiliiga B | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Johvi PhoenixEsiliiga B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Tallinna Kalev IIEsiliiga B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Levadia U19Esiliiga B | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from JK Tabasalu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Esiliiga B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are ranked 4 in Esiliiga B, with 50 points from 32 games.
JK Tabasalu are ranked 8 in Esiliiga B, with 33 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 72 | 36 | 36 | 66 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 80 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 3 | Phoenix | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 71 | 69 | 2 | 54 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 98 | 64 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | Tulevik | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 83 | 65 | 18 | 50 |
| 6 | Luunja | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 76 | 64 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 47 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 85 | -39 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 64 | 79 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | Legion | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 30 | 118 | -88 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.