III Liga - Group 3 · Group III - 10
Zaglebie SosnowiecvsRakow II
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 3
- Venue
- ArcelorMittal Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II: match review and analysis
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II in III Liga - Group 3 on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Rakow II recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | Rakow II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rakow II: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zaglebie Sosnowiec recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KluczborkIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Legia WarszawaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Polonia NysaIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zaglebie Sosnowiec’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rakow II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Polonia NysaIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 4–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rakow II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec are ranked 4 in Group III, with 22 points from 11 games.
Rakow II are ranked 17 in Group III, with 9 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Barycz Sułów | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Górnik Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Miedź Legnica II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzów | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | Stal Brzeg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Kluczbork | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 | Ślęza Wrocław | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 10 |
| 17 | Rakow II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.