Premier League · Regular Season - 3
Gaborone UnitedvsPolice XI
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Gaborone United vs Police XI: match review and analysis
Gaborone United vs Police XI in Premier League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Gaborone United recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 10. Police XI recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 6 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Gaborone United | Police XI |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Gaborone United: (2.33 weighted goals scored + 0.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Police XI: (0.55 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Gaborone United recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Young AfricansCAF Champions League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Young AfricansCAF Champions League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Prisons XIPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BDF XIPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Centre ChiefsPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| CalendarPremier League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| TAFICPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Home | 6–2 | Won | |
| Black LionsPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Gaborone United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Police XI recent form
0.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extension GunnersPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MatebelePremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Morupule WanderersPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Orapa UnitedPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Black LionsPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Township RollersPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GalaxyPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sua FlamingoesPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Police XI’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Police XI are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 8 points from 4 games.
Gaborone United are ranked 7 in Premier League, with 6 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tonota | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Police XI | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | TAFIC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Centre Chiefs | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Extension Gunners | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Gaborone United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Orapa United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Nico United | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Township Rollers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Enesia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | BDF XI | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Galaxy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Prisons XI | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Morupule Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Matebele | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.