UEFA Youth League · Quarter-finals
HB U19vsFlora III
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 3 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Youth League
- Venue
- Gundadalur
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
HB U19 vs Flora III: match review and analysis
HB U19 vs Flora III in UEFA Youth League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
HB U19 recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 3 games used here, scoring 1 and conceding 8. Flora III recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 24 scored and 37 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | HB U19 | Flora III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 1 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 37 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
HB U19: (0.39 weighted goals scored + 2.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Flora III: (2.39 weighted goals scored + 2.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 3 GAMES
HB U19 recent form
0.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game. 3 of 3 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora IIIUEFA Youth League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Progrès Niederkorn U19UEFA Youth League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Progrès Niederkorn U19UEFA Youth League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from HB U19’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 3 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Flora III recent form
2.40 goals scored and 3.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HB U19UEFA Youth League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| KeilaCup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Põhja-Tallinna JK VoltaCup | Home | 6–3 | Won | |
| TammekaCup | Home | 1–8 | Lost | |
| Tallinna Kalev IICup | Home | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Tabasalu UlasabatCup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Tartu KalevCup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PiraajaCup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tallinna Wolves IICup | Away | 12–0 | Won | |
| Flora TallinnCup | Home | 0–14 | Lost |
Scores shown from Flora III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Youth League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.