Taça de Portugal · Round of 64
União SantarémvsGIL Vicente
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Taça de Portugal
- Venue
- Campo Cha das Padeiras
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
União Santarém vs GIL Vicente: match review and analysis
União Santarém vs GIL Vicente in Taça de Portugal on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
União Santarém recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 13. GIL Vicente recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 10 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | União Santarém | GIL Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
União Santarém: (1.75 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
GIL Vicente: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
União Santarém recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MerelinenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| LouletanoLiga 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CaldasLiga 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CF Os BelenensesLiga 3 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| OliveirenseLiga 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SC CovilhaLiga 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AcademicaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VarzimLiga 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AmaranteLiga 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from União Santarém’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
GIL Vicente recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MoreirensePrimeira Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MaritimoPrimeira Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BenficaPrimeira Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FamalicaoPrimeira Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Casa PiaPrimeira Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rio AvePrimeira Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MoreirenseFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC PortoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from GIL Vicente’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Taça de Portugal — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.