Copa do Brasil U20 · Round of 16
União TO U20vsSão Paulo U20
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 5 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa do Brasil U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
União TO U20 vs São Paulo U20: match review and analysis
União TO U20 vs São Paulo U20 in Copa do Brasil U20 on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
União TO U20 recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 5 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 10. São Paulo U20 recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 27 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | União TO U20 | São Paulo U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 27 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
União TO U20: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 0.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
São Paulo U20: (2.40 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 5 GAMES
União TO U20 recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 4 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuna Luso PA U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Miranda do Norte U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| RB Bragantino U20São Paulo Youth Cup | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| União Suzano U20São Paulo Youth Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Avaí U20São Paulo Youth Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from União TO U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
São Paulo U20 recent form
2.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desportivo Brasil U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Athletico PR U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| EC São Bernardo U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| EC São Bernardo U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| União São João U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Gremio Santo Antonio U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 13–1 | Won | |
| Desportivo Brasil U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SC Paulinense SP U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ibrachina U20Paulista - U20 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Novorizontino U20Paulista - U20 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from São Paulo U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa do Brasil U20 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.