UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
AS RomavsReal Madrid
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Venue
- Stadio Olimpico
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
AS Roma vs Real Madrid: match review and analysis
AS Roma vs Real Madrid in UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AS Roma recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 10. Real Madrid recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 24 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AS Roma | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AS Roma: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Madrid: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AS Roma recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ComoSerie A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| InterSerie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TorinoSerie A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AtalantaSerie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LecceSerie A | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| FiorentinaSerie A | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Borussia DortmundFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BrightonFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Newport CountyFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from AS Roma’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Madrid recent form
2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VillarrealLa Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico MadridLa Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ElcheLa Liga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Rayo VallecanoLa Liga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| InterUEFA Champions League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real BetisLa Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MalagaLa Liga | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Real SociedadLa Liga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| EspanyolLa Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Real Madrid’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Champions League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Madrid are ranked 13 in UEFA Champions League, with 3 points from 1 games.
AS Roma are ranked 18 in UEFA Champions League, with 1 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Sabah FA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.