Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Inter MiamivsNew York City FC
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- Nu Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Inter Miami vs New York City FC: match review and analysis
Inter Miami vs New York City FC in Major League Soccer on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Inter Miami recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 14. New York City FC recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Inter Miami | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Inter Miami: (2.50 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
New York City FC: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Inter Miami recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC UnitedMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| San DiegoMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cruz AzulCampeones Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CF MontrealMajor League Soccer | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| Toronto FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Inter Miami’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
New York City FC recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Toronto FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from New York City FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 30 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
Inter Miami are ranked 2 in Eastern Conference, with 49 points from 28 games.
New York City FC are ranked 10 in Eastern Conference, with 33 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 50 | 18 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.