Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Toronto FCvsOrlando City SC
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- BMO Field
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: match review and analysis
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC in Major League Soccer on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Toronto FC recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 20. Orlando City SC recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 21 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Toronto FC | Orlando City SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Toronto FC: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 2.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Orlando City SC: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Toronto FC recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF MontrealMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–4 | Draw | |
| New York City FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CharlotteMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Toronto FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Orlando City SC recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Columbus CrewUS Open Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Toronto FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| San DiegoMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 30 | 31 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
Orlando City SC are ranked 7 in Eastern Conference, with 37 points from 28 games.
Toronto FC are ranked 11 in Eastern Conference, with 32 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 50 | 18 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.