USL Championship · Group Stage
Rhode IslandvsLoudoun United
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- USL Championship
- Venue
- Centreville Bank Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Rhode Island vs Loudoun United: match review and analysis
Rhode Island vs Loudoun United in USL Championship on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Rhode Island recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Loudoun United recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rhode Island | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rhode Island: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Loudoun United: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rhode Island recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BrooklynUSL Championship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Indy ElevenUSL Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Charleston BatteryUSL Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Miami FCUSL Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sporting JAXUSL Championship | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Louisville CityUSL Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC TulsaUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Monterey BayUSL Championship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rhode Island’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Loudoun United recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FCUSL Championship | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Indy ElevenUSL Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sporting JAXUSL Championship | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Louisville CityUSL Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Colorado SpringsUSL Championship | Home | 4–5 | Lost | |
| El Paso LocomotiveUSL Championship | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| New Mexico UnitedUSL Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Detroit CityUSL Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Charleston BatteryUSL Championship | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Loudoun United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rhode Island are ranked 7 in USL Championship, with 38 points from 27 games.
Loudoun United are ranked 10 in USL Championship, with 27 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | -41 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 36 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 21 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.