Primera División · Apertura - 11
LD AlajuelensevsCS Herediano
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano: match review and analysis
LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano in Primera División on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
LD Alajuelense recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. CS Herediano recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | LD Alajuelense | CS Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
LD Alajuelense: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CS Herediano: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
LD Alajuelense recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas FCPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter San CarlosPrimera División | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| CD MarathonCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CS CartaginesPrimera División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CD MarathonCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportivo SaprissaPrimera División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Perez ZeledonPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Plaza AmadorCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| San CarlosPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FirpoCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from LD Alajuelense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CS Herediano recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San CarlosPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo SaprissaPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Escorpiones BelénPrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Perez ZeledonPrimera División | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CS CartaginesPrimera División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Antigua GFCCONCACAF Central American Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sporting San JosePrimera División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Real EstelíCONCACAF Central American Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| San CarlosPrimera División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LD AlajuelensePrimera División | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from CS Herediano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
LD Alajuelense are ranked 6 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 15 points from 10 games.
CS Herediano are ranked 9 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 7 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | CS Cartagines | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | San Carlos | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 18 |
| 5 | Inter San Carlos | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 6 | LD Alajuelense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Perez Zeledon | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | CS Herediano | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Escorpiones Belén | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.