1. Division · Regular Season - 25
Astana IIvsYelimay Semey 2
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Astana II vs Yelimay Semey 2: match review and analysis
Astana II vs Yelimay Semey 2 in 1. Division on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Astana II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 27. Yelimay Semey 2 recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 8 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Astana II | Yelimay Semey 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Astana II: (2.25 weighted goals scored + 2.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Yelimay Semey 2: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 2.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Astana II recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaspij Aktau 21. Division | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Ekibastuz1. Division | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| Sport Academy Kairat1. Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Taraz1. Division | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Khan Tengri1. Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Shakhter Karagandy1. Division | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Tobol 21. Division | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Turan Turkistan1. Division | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Arys1. Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Akademiya Ontustik1. Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Astana II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Yelimay Semey 2 recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arys1. Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Turan Turkistan1. Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Akademiya Ontustik1. Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jaiyq1. Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shakhter Karagandy1. Division | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aktobe Jas1. Division | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Kaspij Aktau 21. Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sport Academy Kairat1. Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ekibastuz1. Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Taraz1. Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Yelimay Semey 2’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Astana II are ranked 5 in 1st Division, with 33 points from 24 games.
Yelimay Semey 2 are ranked 14 in 1st Division, with 12 points from 24 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 8 | 58 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 67 | 13 | 54 | 57 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 22 | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 32 |
| 7 | Taraz | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 28 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 10 | Ekibastuz | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 27 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 12 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.