Birinci Dasta · Regular Season - 5
MingəçevirvsŞimal
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Birinci Dasta
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Mingəçevir vs Şimal: match review and analysis
Mingəçevir vs Şimal in Birinci Dasta on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Mingəçevir recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 19. Şimal recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mingəçevir | Şimal |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mingəçevir: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Şimal: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 2.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mingəçevir recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SəbailBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ZaqatalaBirinci Dasta | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SəbailBirinci Dasta | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ŞahdağBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZaqatalaBirinci Dasta | Home | 7–1 | Won | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mingəçevir’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Şimal recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xankəndi FKBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ŞahdağBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Qaradağ LökbatanBirinci Dasta | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Difai AğsuBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Safa BakuBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Baku SportinqBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Şimal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Birinci Dasta — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Şimal are ranked 8 in Birinci Dasta, with 2 points from 4 games.
Mingəçevir are ranked 9 in Birinci Dasta, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 | Şimal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.