Birinci Dasta · Regular Season - 5
ZaqatalavsSəbail
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Birinci Dasta
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Zaqatala vs Səbail: match review and analysis
Zaqatala vs Səbail in Birinci Dasta on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Zaqatala recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 28. Səbail recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 23 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zaqatala | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zaqatala: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Səbail: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 2.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zaqatala recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŞahdağBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| KarvanBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Baku SportinqBirinci Dasta | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MingəçevirBirinci Dasta | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Safa BakuBirinci Dasta | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Baku SportinqBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SəbailBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MingəçevirBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–7 | Lost | |
| ŞahdağBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MOIKBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zaqatala’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Səbail recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KarvanBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Baku SportinqBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MingəçevirBirinci Dasta | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Xankəndi FKBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MingəçevirBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| ŞahdağBirinci Dasta | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ZaqatalaBirinci Dasta | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Difai AğsuBirinci Dasta | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| ŞimalBirinci Dasta | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Səbail’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Birinci Dasta — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Səbail are ranked 3 in Birinci Dasta, with 8 points from 4 games.
Zaqatala are ranked 6 in Birinci Dasta, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 2 | Cəbrayıl | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Səbail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 | Şimal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 9 | Mingəçevir | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.