Virsliga · Regular Season - 25
Rīgas FSvsSuper Nova
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Virsliga
- Venue
- LNK Sporta Parks
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova: match review and analysis
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova in Virsliga on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Rīgas FS recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 13. Super Nova recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Rīgas FS | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Rīgas FS: (2.30 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Super Nova: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Rīgas FS recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS JelgavaVirsliga | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| AudaVirsliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BFC DaugavpilsVirsliga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FK LiepajaVirsliga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RigaCup | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Ogre UnitedVirsliga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| RigaVirsliga | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Super NovaCup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GrobiņaVirsliga | Home | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Rīgas FS’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Super Nova recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrobiņaVirsliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ogre UnitedVirsliga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RigaVirsliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TukumsVirsliga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FS JelgavaVirsliga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AudaVirsliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BFC DaugavpilsVirsliga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rīgas FSCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FK LiepajaVirsliga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GrobiņaVirsliga | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Super Nova’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Virsliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rīgas FS are ranked 1 in Virsliga, with 77 points from 31 games.
Super Nova are ranked 6 in Virsliga, with 38 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 31 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 77 |
| 2 | Riga | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 30 | 58 | 76 |
| 3 | Auda | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 38 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 54 | -32 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 78 | -47 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.