Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Al-HazmvsAl-Fateh
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pro League
- Venue
- Al Hazm Club Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh: match review and analysis
Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh in Pro League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Al-Hazm recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Al-Fateh recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 4 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al-Hazm | Al-Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al-Hazm: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 2.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al-Fateh: (0.53 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Hazm recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOMPro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-Ahli JeddahPro League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Al TaawonPro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Al-Faisaly FCPro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al ShababPro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-Ittihad FCPro League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Al DiriyahPro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al BukayriyahKing's Cup | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| AbhaPro League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al TaawonPro League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al-Hazm’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Fateh recent form
0.40 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli JeddahPro League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| NEOMPro League | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Al DiriyahPro League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al TaawonPro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Ittihad FCPro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Al-Faisaly FCPro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-EttifaqPro League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Al UlaKing's Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al-NassrPro League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MallorcaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Al-Fateh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al-Hazm are ranked 10 in Saudi Professional League, with 9 points from 8 games.
Al-Fateh are ranked 16 in Saudi Professional League, with 3 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.