Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 32
FC TallinnvsTartu Welco
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Esiliiga A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco: match review and analysis
FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco in Esiliiga A on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC Tallinn recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 24. Tartu Welco recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 29 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Tallinn | Tartu Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 29 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Tallinn: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tartu Welco: (2.63 weighted goals scored + 2.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Tallinn recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora IIEsiliiga A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LaagriCup | Home | 0–10 | Lost | |
| Harju JK Laagri U21Cup | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| ElvaEsiliiga A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FCI Levadia IIEsiliiga A | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| ViimsiEsiliiga A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nõmme Kalju IIEsiliiga A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FCI Levadia IIEsiliiga A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nõmme United IIEsiliiga A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MaarduEsiliiga A | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Tallinn’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tartu Welco recent form
2.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ElvaEsiliiga A | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| ViimsiEsiliiga A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nõmme Kalju IIEsiliiga A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FCI Levadia IIEsiliiga A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tallinna KalevEsiliiga A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ViimsiEsiliiga A | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Nõmme Kalju IIEsiliiga A | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| FCI Levadia IIEsiliiga A | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Flora IIEsiliiga A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KoseCup | Away | 8–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tartu Welco’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Esiliiga A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tartu Welco are ranked 1 in Esiliiga A, with 65 points from 31 games.
FC Tallinn are ranked 9 in Esiliiga A, with 35 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 85 | 39 | 46 | 65 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 53 |
| 3 | Flora II | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 73 | 55 | 18 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 47 |
| 6 | Maardu | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 42 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 35 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 80 | -42 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.