Africa Cup of Nations U20 · Qualification - 1
Mali U20vsGuinea U20
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Africa Cup of Nations U20
- Venue
- Stade Mamadou Konate
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Mali U20 vs Guinea U20: match review and analysis
Mali U20 vs Guinea U20 in Africa Cup of Nations U20 on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Mali U20 recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 20. Guinea U20 recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 4 scored and 12 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Mali U20 | Guinea U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mali U20: (1.87 weighted goals scored + 2.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guinea U20: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mali U20 recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan U20Tournoi Maurice Revello | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Saudi Arabia U23Tournoi Maurice Revello | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| France U20Tournoi Maurice Revello | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Panama U20Tournoi Maurice Revello | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Italy U20World Cup - U20 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Argentina U20World Cup - U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| France U20World Cup - U20 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Saudi Arabia U20World Cup - U20 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Panama U20World Cup - U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Senegal U20Africa Cup of Nations U20 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mali U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
Guinea U20 recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 4 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauritania U20Africa Cup of Nations U20 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Mauritania U20Africa Cup of Nations U20 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Argentina U20World Cup - U20 | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| England U20World Cup - U20 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Korea Republic U20World Cup - U20 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Guinea U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Africa Cup of Nations U20 — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.