UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Red Bull SalzburgvsAC Milan
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Europa League
- Venue
- Red Bull Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan: match review and analysis
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan in UEFA Europa League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Red Bull Salzburg recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 5. AC Milan recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Red Bull Salzburg | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Red Bull Salzburg: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
AC Milan: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 0.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Red Bull Salzburg recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AKBundesliga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC BW LinzFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sturm GrazBundesliga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| RiedBundesliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SKN ST. PoltenCup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Rapid ViennaBundesliga | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Austria ViennaBundesliga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Mjallby AIFUEFA Europa League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Mjallby AIFUEFA Europa League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Red Bull Salzburg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
AC Milan recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SassuoloSerie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LecceSerie A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BenficaUEFA Europa League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LazioSerie A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| JuventusSerie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VeneziaSerie A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| TorinoSerie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Manchester UnitedFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| ChelseaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| InterFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from AC Milan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Europa League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Red Bull Salzburg are ranked 14 in UEFA Europa League, with 3 points from 1 games.
AC Milan are ranked 30 in UEFA Europa League, with 0 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.