Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Al-Ahli JeddahvsAl-Nassr
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Pro League
- Venue
- Alinma Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr: match review and analysis
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr in Pro League on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Al-Ahli Jeddah recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Al-Nassr recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 23 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Al-Ahli Jeddah: (2.30 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Al-Nassr: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Ahli Jeddah recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Wasl FCAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Al-FatehPro League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Mamelodi SundownsFIFA Intercontinental Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PakhtakorAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-HazmPro League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Al RiyadhPro League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FCPro League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Al KholoodPro League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AucklandFIFA Intercontinental Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Al-Ahli Jeddah’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Al-Nassr recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NeftchiAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Al DiriyahPro League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Al AinAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Al Khaleej SaihatPro League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AbhaPro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-Ittihad FCPro League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Al TaawonPro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Al-EttifaqPro League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Al RiyadhPro League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Al DiriyahKing's Cup | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Al-Nassr’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Al-Nassr are ranked 3 in Saudi Professional League, with 19 points from 8 games.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are ranked 6 in Saudi Professional League, with 15 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.