Primera B · Clausura - 13
Internacional PalmiravsOrsomarso
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- Francisco Rivera Escobar
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Internacional Palmira vs Orsomarso: match review and analysis
Internacional Palmira vs Orsomarso in Primera B on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Internacional Palmira recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Orsomarso recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Internacional Palmira | Orsomarso |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Internacional Palmira: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Orsomarso: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Internacional Palmira recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Internacional Palmira’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Orsomarso recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PopayanPrimera B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ind. YumboPrimera B | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Depor FCPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PatriotasPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Orsomarso’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Internacional Palmira are ranked 1 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 60 points from 33 games.
Orsomarso are ranked 13 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 30 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 60 |
| 2 | Envigado | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 57 |
| 3 | Quindio | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 57 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
| 9 | Barranquilla | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 10 | Real Cundinamarca | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Popayan | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 21 |
Internacional Palmira are ranked 1 in Primera B: Apertura, with 38 points from 15 games.
Orsomarso are ranked 10 in Primera B: Apertura, with 17 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
Internacional Palmira are ranked 3 in Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Internacional Palmira are ranked 10 in Primera B: Clausura, with 15 points from 12 games.
Orsomarso are ranked 13 in Primera B: Clausura, with 13 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Popayan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Internacional Palmira | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Bogota FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.