Copa Uruguay · Round of 16
Club NacionalvsRentistas
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 15 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Uruguay
- Venue
- Gran Parque Central
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Club Nacional vs Rentistas: match review and analysis
Club Nacional vs Rentistas in Copa Uruguay on 15 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Club Nacional recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Rentistas recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Club Nacional | Rentistas |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Club Nacional: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rentistas: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 0.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Club Nacional recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central EspanolPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico TorquePrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cerro LargoPrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Defensor SportingPrimera División | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| ProgresoCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| WanderersPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventudPrimera División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CA River PlateCopa Uruguay | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PenarolPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Albion FCCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Club Nacional’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rentistas recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PaysanduSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sportivo HuracanSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cerro LargoCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Uruguay MontevideoSegunda División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| OrientalSegunda División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Plaza ColoniaCopa Uruguay | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ColónSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FenixSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CA River PlateSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Defensor SportingCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rentistas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Uruguay — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.