1. Division · Regular Season - 25

FULL-TIME

Turan Turkistan1–0Shakhter Karagandy

Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy in 1. Division on 16 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.

RealScored · Match result

16 October 2026

Prediction

Over 1.5 goals

Lost

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

Prediction saved

Game statistics

Turan TurkistanShakhter Karagandy

HomeStatisticAway
1Goals0
—Corners—
—Corners (Half)—
0Yellow Card0
0Yellow/Red Card0
0Red Card0
—Offsides—
—Goal attempts—
—Saves—
—Shots blocked—
—Fouls—
0Penalties0
—Ball Safe—
—Injuries—
0Substitutions0
—Attacks—
—Dangerous Attacks—
—On Target—
—Off Target—
—Possession %—
—Total market value—
—Avg. market value—
—Avg. Age—
—National team players—
—Youth national team players—
—Foreigners—

An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.

Updated

Goals and cards

Goals

  1. 70′
    M. GerasimovNormal GoalTuran TurkistanAssist: A. Kenesov

Cards

No cards are currently listed.

Events updated

Lineups

Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.

Lineups updated

LEAGUE CONTEXT

1. Division — current table

Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.

Shakhter Karagandy are ranked 1 in 1st Division, with 65 points from 24 games.

Turan Turkistan are ranked 3 in 1st Division, with 51 points from 24 games.

1st Division
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy2421216685865
2Sport Academy Kairat24176167135457
3Turan Turkistan24163552223051
4Akademiya Ontustik2413473629743
5Astana II24103114249-733
6Jaiyq2495102227-532
7Taraz248793133-231
8Kaspij Aktau 22484123541-628
9Arys2483133245-1327
10Ekibastuz2476113254-2227
11Khan Tengri2475123045-1526
12Aktobe Jas2466124273-3124
13Tobol 22445154461-1717
14Yelimay Semey 22433181950-3112

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy

0Turan Turkistan wins
0Draws
1Shakhter Karagandy wins
Most recent previous meetings
DateHome teamScoreAway teamCompetition
Shakhter Karagandy1–0Turan Turkistan1. Division

Match information

Competition
1. Division
Venue
Turkestan Arena
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–0
90-minute score
1–0
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Turan Turkistan

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Shakhter Karagandy

No upcoming fixtures are available.

RealScored match analysis

Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Turan Turkistan recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 11. Shakhter Karagandy recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, with 28 scored and 3 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticTuran TurkistanShakhter Karagandy
Games1010
Wins79
Draws21
Losses10
Goals scored2328
Goals conceded113
Over 1.5 games88

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Turan Turkistan: (2.45 weighted goals scored + 0.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Shakhter Karagandy: (2.69 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Turan Turkistan 1.38
Shakhter Karagandy 1.95

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results and goal trends

LAST 10 GAMES

Turan Turkistan recent form

7Wins
2Draws
1Losses
23Goals scored
11Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Turan Turkistan goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Jaiyq1. DivisionAway1–1Draw
Yelimay Semey 21. DivisionHome4–1Won
Aktobe Jas1. DivisionAway3–1Won
Kaspij Aktau 21. DivisionAway3–0Won
Ekibastuz1. DivisionAway4–2Won
Sport Academy Kairat1. DivisionHome0–4Lost
Taraz1. DivisionAway0–0Draw
Astana II1. DivisionHome5–1Won
Khan Tengri1. DivisionAway1–0Won
Tobol 21. DivisionHome2–1Won

Scores shown from Turan Turkistan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Shakhter Karagandy recent form

9Wins
1Draws
0Losses
28Goals scored
3Goals conceded
7Clean sheets

2.80 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Shakhter Karagandy goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Akademiya Ontustik1. DivisionHome2–0Won
Taraz1. DivisionHome0–0Draw
Jaiyq1. DivisionAway2–1Won
Khan Tengri1. DivisionHome4–0Won
Yelimay Semey 21. DivisionAway3–0Won
Astana II1. DivisionHome4–0Won
Aktobe Jas1. DivisionAway6–1Won
Kaspij Aktau 21. DivisionHome1–0Won
Tobol 21. DivisionAway2–0Won
Arys1. DivisionHome4–1Won

Scores shown from Shakhter Karagandy’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.

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