Welsh Cup · Round of 64
Results Only
Caerau (Ely)vsllanelli AFC
Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC in Welsh Cup on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Welsh Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 3–0 | llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
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Match information
- Competition
- Welsh Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Caerau (Ely)
No upcoming fixtures are available.
llanelli AFC
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Caerau (Ely) vs llanelli AFC: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Caerau (Ely) recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 18. llanelli AFC recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses, with 8 scored and 29 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Caerau (Ely) | llanelli AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 29 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Caerau (Ely): (2.15 weighted goals scored + 3.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
llanelli AFC: (0.80 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Caerau (Ely) recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Afan LidoFAW Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cardiff DraconiansFAW Championship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| llanelli AFCFAW Championship | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Treowen StarsFAW Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Baglan DragonsFAW Championship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Swansea UniversityFAW Championship | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Ynyshir AlbionsFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Away | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Caerau (Ely)’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
llanelli AFC recent form
0.80 goals scored and 2.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir AlbionsFAW Championship | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Baglan DragonsFAW Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Llantwit MajorFAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Caerau (Ely)FAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Treowen StarsFAW Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Carmarthen TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cardiff DraconiansFAW Championship | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Swansea UniversityFAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from llanelli AFC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.