Welsh Cup · Round of 64
Results Only
GAP Connah S Quay FCvsPorthmadog
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog in Welsh Cup on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Welsh Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Welsh Cup
- Venue
- Essity Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
GAP Connah S Quay FC
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Porthmadog
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
GAP Connah S Quay FC recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 6. Porthmadog recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | GAP Connah S Quay FC | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
GAP Connah S Quay FC: (1.93 weighted goals scored + 0.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Porthmadog: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 0.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
GAP Connah S Quay FC recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briton FerryPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PenybontPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Cardiff METPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Airbus UKPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Colwyn BayPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Flint Town UnitedPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from GAP Connah S Quay FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Porthmadog recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gresford AthleticFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bangor City 1876 FCFAW Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newtown AFCFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ruthin TownFAW Championship | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Bala TownFAW Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Holyhead HotspurFAW Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CaerswsFAW Championship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Denbigh TownFAW Championship | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Buckley TownFAW Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RhylFAW Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Porthmadog’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.