Serie B · Regular Season - 34
Results Only
Sport RecifevsFortaleza EC
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC in Serie B on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fortaleza EC are ranked 4 in Serie B, with 57 points from 33 games.
Sport Recife are ranked 8 in Serie B, with 51 points from 33 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 61 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 57 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 51 |
| 9 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 54 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 73 | -55 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 2–1 | Sport Recife | Serie B |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Serie B
- Venue
- Ilha do Retiro
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Sport Recife
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Fortaleza EC
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Sport Recife recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Fortaleza EC recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 14 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sport Recife | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sport Recife: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fortaleza EC: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sport Recife recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico GoianienseSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| São BernardoSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Athletic ClubSerie B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nautico RecifeSerie B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| JuventudeSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CRBSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ponte PretaSerie B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CearaSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NovorizontinoSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| America MineiroSerie B | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sport Recife’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fortaleza EC recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRBSerie B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| America MineiroSerie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nautico RecifeSerie B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Athletic ClubSerie B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LondrinaSerie B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CearaSerie B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AvaiSerie B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GoiasSerie B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Operario-PRSerie B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CriciumaSerie B | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Fortaleza EC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.