National League - National · Championship Group - 4
Results Only
Wellington OlympicvsEastern Suburbs
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs in National League - National on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - National — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Wellington Olympic are ranked 5 in First Division: Championship Group, with 4 points from 3 games.
Eastern Suburbs are ranked 10 in First Division: Championship Group, with 1 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miramar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Cashmere Technical | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 6 |
| 3 | Auckland United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 4 | Auckland City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington Olympic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Ferrymead Bays | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Napier City Rovers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | Birkenhead United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Auckland FC 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Suburbs | 1–1 | Wellington Olympic | Chatham Cup |
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Match information
- Competition
- National League - National
- Venue
- Wakefield Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Wellington Olympic
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Eastern Suburbs
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Wellington Olympic recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Eastern Suburbs recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Wellington Olympic | Eastern Suburbs |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Wellington Olympic: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Eastern Suburbs: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Wellington Olympic recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland CityNational League - National | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ferrymead BaysNational League - National | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Auckland FC 2National League - National | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Auckland CityNational League - Championship - Final | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MiramarNational League - National | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Auckland UnitedNational League - National | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Christchurch UnitedNational League - National | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Auckland FC 2National League - National | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Western SuburbsNational League - National | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Birkenhead UnitedNational League - National | Away | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Wellington Olympic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Eastern Suburbs recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland CityNational League - National | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Ferrymead BaysNational League - National | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Birkenhead UnitedNational League - Northern | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Western SpringsNational League - Northern | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Auckland CityNational League - Northern | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wellington OlympicChatham Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| West Coast RangersNational League - Northern | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ManurewaNational League - Northern | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fencibles UnitedChatham Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| East Coast BaysNational League - Northern | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Eastern Suburbs’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.