Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 13
Results Only
CA La PazvsTlaxcala
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala in Liga de Expansión MX on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga de Expansión MX — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CA La Paz are ranked 2 in Primera A: Apertura, with 23 points from 12 games.
Tlaxcala are ranked 11 in Primera A: Apertura, with 15 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros UDG | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | CA La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancún | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Tapatío | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Correcaminos Uat | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Dorados | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA La Paz | 2–0 | Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
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Match information
- Competition
- Liga de Expansión MX
- Venue
- Estadio Guaycura
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
RealScored match analysis
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
CA La Paz recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 26 and conceding 10. Tlaxcala recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 20 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CA La Paz | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 26 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CA La Paz: (2.48 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tlaxcala: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CA La Paz recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Venados FCLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Mineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| CancúnLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cruz Azul HidalgoLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PiratasLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| TepatitlánLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from CA La Paz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tlaxcala recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PiratasLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| MonarcasLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CancúnLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| CDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| DurangoLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Venados FCLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| TepatitlánLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| DoradosLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tlaxcala’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.