J2 League · Regular Season - 11
Results Only
Oita TrinitavsAlbirex Niigata
Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata in J2 League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Albirex Niigata are ranked 3 in J2 League, with 20 points from 10 games.
Oita Trinita are ranked 7 in J2 League, with 14 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz Akita | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Ventforet Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 10 |
| 20 | Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Resonac Dome Oita
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Oita Trinita
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Albirex Niigata
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Oita Trinita recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Albirex Niigata recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Oita Trinita | Albirex Niigata |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Oita Trinita: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Albirex Niigata: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Oita Trinita recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Consadole SapporoJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ2 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ-League Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IwakiEmperor Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Oita Trinita’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Albirex Niigata recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ-League Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kagoshima UnitedEmperor Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Albirex Niigata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.