First League · Regular Season - 14
Results Only
FC UFAvsArsenal Tula
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula in First League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC UFA are ranked 9 in Regular Season, with 18 points from 13 games.
Arsenal Tula are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 16 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Veles | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 24 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | FC UFA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Neftyanik Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
FC UFA
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Arsenal Tula
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
FC UFA vs Arsenal Tula: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
FC UFA recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Arsenal Tula recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC UFA | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC UFA: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Arsenal Tula: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC UFA recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC SochiFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Torpedo MoskvaFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ChelyabinskFirst League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KalugaCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VelesFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FK NeftekhimikFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EniseyFirst League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UralFirst League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC UFA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Arsenal Tula recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| CSKA MoscowFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LokomotivFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| EniseyFirst League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| TekstilshchikCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| UralFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VelesFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rotor VolgogradFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Arsenal Tula’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.