First League · Regular Season - 11
Results Only
Arsenal TivatvsMornar
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar in First League on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mornar are ranked 6 in Prva Liga, with 14 points from 10 games.
Arsenal Tivat are ranked 10 in Prva Liga, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otrant-Olympic | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Buducnost Podgorica | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Sutjeska | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Dečić | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Bokelj | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Mornar | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Mladost DG | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | Jezero | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
| 9 | Petrovac | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tivat | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mornar | 0–0 | Arsenal Tivat | First League |
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Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Stadion u Parku
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Arsenal Tivat
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Mornar
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Arsenal Tivat recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Mornar recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Arsenal Tivat | Mornar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Arsenal Tivat: (0.64 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mornar: (2.20 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Arsenal Tivat recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrbaljCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SutjeskaFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PetrovacFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mladost DGFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JezeroFirst League | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Otrant-OlympicFirst League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BokeljFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Buducnost PodgoricaFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MornarFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DečićFirst League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Arsenal Tivat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mornar recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otrant-OlympicCup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| JezeroFirst League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Mladost DGFriendlies Clubs | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| DečićFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Otrant-OlympicFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SutjeskaFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BokeljFirst League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PetrovacFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Buducnost PodgoricaFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mladost DGFirst League | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Mornar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.