Regionalliga - Nord · North - 14
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VfB LübeckvsSt. Pauli II
VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II in Regionalliga - Nord on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - Nord — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
VfB Lübeck are ranked 10 in Regionalliga: North, with 15 points from 13 games.
St. Pauli II are ranked 16 in Regionalliga: North, with 10 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 31 |
| 2 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 28 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 II | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Phönix Lübeck | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 26 |
| 5 | VfB Oldenburg | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 25 |
| 6 | Schöningen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Kickers Emden | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 | HSC Hannover | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 16 |
| 10 | VfB Lübeck | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 | Eimsbütteler TV | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Todesfelde | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 11 |
| 16 | St. Pauli II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Jeddeloh | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 10 |
| 18 | Bremer SV | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - Nord
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
VfB Lübeck
No upcoming fixtures are available.
St. Pauli II
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
VfB Lübeck recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. St. Pauli II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 19 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | VfB Lübeck | St. Pauli II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
VfB Lübeck: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St. Pauli II: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
VfB Lübeck recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV JeddelohRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Eimsbütteler TVRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TodesfeldeRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Bremer SVRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hannover 96 IIRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HSC HannoverRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from VfB Lübeck’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Pauli II recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSC HannoverRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kickers EmdenRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Hannover 96 IIRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SchöningenRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Werder Bremen IIRegionalliga - Nord | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SSV JeddelohRegionalliga - Nord | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from St. Pauli II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.