Thai League 2 · Regular Season - 7
Phrae UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 2
- Venue
- Huai Ma Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: match review and analysis
Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC in Thai League 2 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Phrae United recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Nakhon Ratchasima FC recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Phrae United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Phrae United: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Phrae United recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Esan PattayaThai League 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Muang Loei UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nakhon PathomThai League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ChainatThai League 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Nakhon PathomThai League 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Esan PattayaThai League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rasi Salai UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Phrae United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nakhon Ratchasima FC recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muang Loei UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ChainatThai League 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Nakhon PathomThai League 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sukhothai FCThai League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BG Pathum UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nakhon Ratchasima FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Phrae United are ranked 4 in Thai Division 1, with 10 points from 6 games.
Nakhon Ratchasima FC are ranked 15 in Thai Division 1, with 6 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Uttaradit | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Chainat | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Phrae United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Satun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Khon Kaen United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Kanchanaburi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Chiangmai United | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Muang Loei United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Chanthaburi | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Esan Pattaya | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Police Tero | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Nakhon Pathom | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Muangthong United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Songkhla | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Kasetsart FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Mahasarakham United | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.