Derde Divisie · Regular Season - 10
StaphorstvsDVS 33 Ermelo
Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo in Derde Divisie on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Derde Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
DVS 33 Ermelo are ranked 13 in Derde Divisie, with 6 points from 9 games.
Staphorst are ranked 14 in Derde Divisie, with 6 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 1 | Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | SC Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | ACV | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Dovo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 4 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 1 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | SVZW | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 1 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 4–1 | DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
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Match information
- Competition
- Derde Divisie
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Staphorst
No upcoming fixtures are available.
DVS 33 Ermelo
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RealScored match analysis
Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Staphorst recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 22. DVS 33 Ermelo recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Staphorst | DVS 33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Staphorst: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 2.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
DVS 33 Ermelo: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 2.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Staphorst recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HollandiaDerde Divisie | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| TECDerde Divisie | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Sparta NijkerkDerde Divisie | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ACVDerde Divisie | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Harkemase BoysDerde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SC GenemuidenDerde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UNAKNVB Beker | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ADO '20Derde Divisie | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Excelsior '31Derde Divisie | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Staphorst’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
DVS 33 Ermelo recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EemdijkDerde Divisie | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HerculesDerde Divisie | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sportlust '46Derde Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GVVV VeenendaalKNVB Beker | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| HollandiaDerde Divisie | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| TECDerde Divisie | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Sparta NijkerkDerde Divisie | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ATC 65KNVB Beker | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ACVDerde Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Harkemase BoysDerde Divisie | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from DVS 33 Ermelo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.