Second League - Group 1 · Group 1 - 28
DruzhbavsLugansk
Druzhba vs Lugansk in Second League - Group 1 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Druzhba are ranked 9 in South, with 27 points from 20 games.
Lugansk are ranked 10 in South, with 24 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevastopol | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Shahter Taganrog | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 46 |
| 4 | Rubin Yalta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Kyzyltash | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 31 |
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
| 10 | Lugansk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Astrakhan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 57 | -38 | 18 |
| 13 | Angust Nazran | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | FK Chayka 2 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | PSK Dinskaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 62 | 17 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | KDV | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Akron II | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 27 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orenburg II | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
| 2 | Ural II | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 25 |
| 3 | Izhevsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
| 4 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
| 5 | Nosta | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 21 |
| 6 | Chelyabinsk II | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 20 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Druzhba vs Lugansk
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 1
- Venue
- Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
RealScored match analysis
Druzhba vs Lugansk: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Druzhba recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Lugansk recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Druzhba | Lugansk |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Druzhba: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.34 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lugansk: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Druzhba recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IzberbashSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Spartak NalchikSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EniseyCup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Angust NazranSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rubin YaltaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| IzberbashCup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KyzyltashSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Druzhba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lugansk recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart CherkesskSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SevastopolSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FK Chayka 2Second League - Group 1 | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Rostov IISecond League - Group 1 | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Shahter TaganrogSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AstrakhanSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PobedaSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Spartak NalchikSecond League - Group 1 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Angust NazranSecond League - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dynamo Makhachkala IISecond League - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Lugansk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.