HNL · Regular Season - 10
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvsIstra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 in HNL on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
HNL — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Istra 1961 are ranked 6 in HNL, with 12 points from 9 games.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are ranked 8 in HNL, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istra 1961 | 2–3 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
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Match information
- Competition
- HNL
- Venue
- Stadion Kranjčevićeva
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Istra 1961
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Istra 1961 recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Istra 1961: (2.28 weighted goals scored + 1.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK VarazdinHNL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TomislavCup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RudesHNL | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| NK OsijekHNL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HNK GoricaHNL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Istra 1961HNL | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from NK Lokomotiva Zagreb’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Istra 1961 recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK OsijekHNL | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| HNK GoricaHNL | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RudesHNL | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| ZagorecCup | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| NK VarazdinHNL | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dinamo ZagrebHNL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HNK RijekaHNL | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| NK Slaven BelupoHNL | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| HNK Hajduk SplitHNL | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Istra 1961’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.