Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 12
Chavdar EtropolevsBalkan Botevgrad
Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad in Third League - Southwest on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Balkan Botevgrad are ranked 6 in Southwest, with 19 points from 11 games.
Chavdar Etropole are ranked 15 in Southwest, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slivnishki geroy | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Chavdar Etropole
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Balkan Botevgrad
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Chavdar Etropole vs Balkan Botevgrad: match review and analysis
RealScored brings together match information, team results and head-to-head history. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chavdar Etropole recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 25. Balkan Botevgrad recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 9 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chavdar Etropole | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 25 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chavdar Etropole: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 0.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Balkan Botevgrad: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 2.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chavdar Etropole recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Chavdar Etropole’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Balkan Botevgrad recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FratriaCup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Levski Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slavia Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Balkan Botevgrad’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.