Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Group 4 - 4
SarakinosvsEthnikos Neou Keramidiou
Sarakinos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou are ranked 3 in Group 4, with 6 points from 3 games.
Sarakinos are ranked 9 in Group 4, with 3 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Elassona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Anthoupoli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Ermis Exochi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Feraios | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Sarakinos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Digenis Neochori | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Iraklis Larissa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Sarakinos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarakinos | 0–4 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
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Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Sarakinos
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Sarakinos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Sarakinos recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 16 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sarakinos | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sarakinos: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sarakinos recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PierikosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KaritsaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KozaniGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EordaikosGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EvosmouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Akrites SykeonGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| EvosmouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Sarakinos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis LarissaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| FeraiosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PanthrakikosGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PanthrakikosGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.