Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 10
Results Only
Fratria IIvsUstrem Donchevo
Fratria II vs Ustrem Donchevo in Third League - Northeast on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fratria II are ranked 15 in Northeast, with 7 points from 8 games.
Ustrem Donchevo are ranked 16 in Northeast, with 4 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets 1919 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Cherno more II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Fratria II vs Ustrem Donchevo
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Fratria II
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Ustrem Donchevo
No upcoming fixtures are available.
RealScored match analysis
Fratria II vs Ustrem Donchevo: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Fratria II recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 34. Ustrem Donchevo recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 21 scored and 31 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fratria II | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 34 | 31 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fratria II: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 2.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ustrem Donchevo: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 2.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fratria II recent form
0.90 goals scored and 3.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–9 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–6 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–7 | Lost | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fratria II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ustrem Donchevo recent form
2.10 goals scored and 3.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Ustrem Donchevo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.