III Liga - Group 3 · Group III - 11
Sparta Katowice1–1Warta Gorzów
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów: match review and analysis
Sparta Katowice vs Warta Gorzów in III Liga - Group 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Sparta Katowice recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Warta Gorzów recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sparta Katowice | Warta Gorzów |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sparta Katowice: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Warta Gorzów: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 0.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sparta Katowice recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miedź Legnica IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| KluczborkIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rakow IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Polonia NysaIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sparta Katowice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Warta Gorzów recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ślęza WrocławIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Barycz SułówIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Carina GubinIII Liga - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ROW RybnikIII Liga - Group 3 | Away | 1–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Warta Gorzów’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sparta Katowice are ranked 1 in Group III, with 24 points from 11 games.
Warta Gorzów are ranked 11 in Group III, with 14 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Katowice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Stilon Gorzów | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Miedź Legnica II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Stal Brzeg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Ślęza Wrocław | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Rakow II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Nysa | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.