Regionalliga - SudWest · Sudwest - 10
VfR Aalen4–1FSV Frankfurt
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - SudWest
- Venue
- OSTALB ARENA
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
VfR Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt: match review and analysis
VfR Aalen vs FSV Frankfurt in Regionalliga - SudWest on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
VfR Aalen recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 11. FSV Frankfurt recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | VfR Aalen | FSV Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
VfR Aalen: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FSV Frankfurt: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
VfR Aalen recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers OffenbachRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| VfR MannheimRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SSV Ulm 1846Regionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Freiburg IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC SaarbrückenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from VfR Aalen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FSV Frankfurt recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgarter KickersRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SSV Ulm 1846Regionalliga - SudWest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Kickers OffenbachRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.Regionalliga - SudWest | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC Astoria WalldorfRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Eintracht FrankfurtFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| VfR MannheimRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Würzburger KickersFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from FSV Frankfurt’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - SudWest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
VfR Aalen are ranked 4 in Regionalliga: Sudwest, with 18 points from 10 games.
FSV Frankfurt are ranked 11 in Regionalliga: Sudwest, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 20 |
| 2 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Kickers Offenbach | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | VfR Aalen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Eintracht Trier | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | VfR Mannheim | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | SV Sandhausen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | FSV Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 9 |
| 17 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.