Liga III - Serie 3 · Group 3 - 7
Berca4–5Voința Crevedia
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 8 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–5
- 90-minute score
- 4–5
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Berca vs Voința Crevedia: match review and analysis
Berca vs Voința Crevedia in Liga III - Serie 3 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–5. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Berca recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 8 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 15. Voința Crevedia recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Berca | Voința Crevedia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Berca: (2.55 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Voința Crevedia: (2.12 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 8 GAMES
Berca recent form
2.63 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. 8 of 8 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlejoiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Progresul DraganestiLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Viitorul CorbeancaLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| TunariLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PăuleştiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BaicoiCupa României | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Valenii de MunteCupa României | Home | 5–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Berca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 8 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Voința Crevedia recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlopeniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Râmnicu SăratLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| PucioasaLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Flacăra MoreniLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BlejoiLiga III - Serie 3 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Progresul DraganestiLiga III - Serie 3 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Progresul MogosoaiaCupa României | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Urban TituCupa României | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Urban TituLiga III - Serie 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PucioasaLiga III - Serie 4 | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Voința Crevedia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Berca are ranked 3 in Group 3, with 13 points from 7 games.
Voința Crevedia are ranked 6 in Group 3, with 10 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 19 |
| 2 | Tunari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Blejoi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Voința Crevedia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Pucioasa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Urban Titu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Râmnicu Sărat | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.