III Liga - Group 1 · Group I - 11
Mławianka Mława2–4Swit
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–4
- 90-minute score
- 2–4
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mławianka Mława vs Swit: match review and analysis
Mławianka Mława vs Swit in III Liga - Group 1 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–4. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Mławianka Mława recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 28. Swit recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mławianka Mława | Swit |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mławianka Mława: (2.24 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Swit: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 2.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mławianka Mława recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| TroszynIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 4–7 | Lost | |
| ŁKS Łódź IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| WeszloIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Pelikan ŁowiczIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Mławianka Mława’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Swit recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| WeszloIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pelikan ŁowiczIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Widzew IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm.III Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Swit’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Swit are ranked 4 in Group I, with 20 points from 11 games.
Mławianka Mława are ranked 15 in Group I, with 10 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Swit | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Pelikan Łowicz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Wisła Płock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrów | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elbląg | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | ŁKS Łódź II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Mławianka Mława | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Łomża | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.