Carioca U20 · Regular Season - 9
Fluminense U201–1Vasco da Gama U20
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Carioca U20
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco da Gama U20: match review and analysis
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco da Gama U20 in Carioca U20 on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fluminense U20 recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Vasco da Gama U20 recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 26 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fluminense U20 | Vasco da Gama U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fluminense U20: (2.69 weighted goals scored + 0.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vasco da Gama U20: (2.59 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fluminense U20 recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo U20Carioca U20 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sampaio Correa FE U20Carioca U20 | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Botafogo U20Carioca U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Volta Redonda U20Carioca U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bangu U20Carioca U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Madureira U20Carioca U20 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Boavista U20Carioca U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nova Iguaçu U20Carioca U20 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Botafogo U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Palmeiras U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fluminense U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vasco da Gama U20 recent form
2.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madureira U20Carioca U20 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Botafogo U20Carioca U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Volta Redonda U20Carioca U20 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rio Branco ES U20Copa do Brasil U20 | Home | 11–0 | Won | |
| Bangu U20Carioca U20 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Boavista U20Carioca U20 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Palmeiras U20Brasileiro U20 A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Palmeiras U20Brasileiro U20 A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nova Iguaçu U20Carioca U20 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Portuguesa RJ U20Carioca U20 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Vasco da Gama U20’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Carioca U20 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fluminense U20 are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 23 points from 9 games.
Vasco da Gama U20 are ranked 3 in Regular Season, with 22 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo U20 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 24 |
| 2 | Fluminense U20 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 23 |
| 3 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo U20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Madureira U20 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Boavista U20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Maricá U20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Bangu U20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 7 |
| 11 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Volta Redonda U20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.