Tweede Divisie · Regular Season - 8
Katwijk1–5Kozakken Boys
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tweede Divisie
- Venue
- Sportpark De Krom
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–5
- 90-minute score
- 1–5
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys: match review and analysis
Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys in Tweede Divisie on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–5. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Katwijk recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Kozakken Boys recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 24 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Katwijk | Kozakken Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Katwijk: (1.69 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kozakken Boys: (2.71 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Katwijk recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| De TreffersTweede Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sparta Rotterdam IITweede Divisie | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Almere City IITweede Divisie | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| TOGBKNVB Beker | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BarendrechtTweede Divisie | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| HoekTweede Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SpakenburgTweede Divisie | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sparta Rotterdam IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sparta Rotterdam IITweede Divisie | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Katwijk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kozakken Boys recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koninklijke HFCTweede Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GroesbeekKNVB Beker | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| HHCTweede Divisie | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Rijnsburgse BoysTweede Divisie | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| ROHDA RaalteTweede Divisie | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GVVV VeenendaalTweede Divisie | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| KloetingeTweede Divisie | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| IjsselmeervogelsTweede Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| WaalwijkFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Quick BoysTweede Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kozakken Boys’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tweede Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kozakken Boys are ranked 2 in Tweede Divisie, with 17 points from 8 games.
Katwijk are ranked 9 in Tweede Divisie, with 11 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | HHC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Ijsselmeervogels | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Spakenburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Katwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | GVVV Veenendaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Hoek | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | Almere City II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.