Division 2 - Norrland · Norrland - Promotion Round
IFK Luleå4–2Skellefteå
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Division 2 - Norrland
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–2
- 90-minute score
- 4–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå: match review and analysis
IFK Luleå vs Skellefteå in Division 2 - Norrland on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
IFK Luleå recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Skellefteå recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | IFK Luleå | Skellefteå |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
IFK Luleå: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Skellefteå: (1.47 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
IFK Luleå recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KubikenborgDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LuckstaDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| BodenDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TäfteåDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| TäfteåDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LuckstaDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| KubikenborgDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SkellefteåDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BodenDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GottneDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from IFK Luleå’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Skellefteå recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GottneDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BodenDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| TäfteåDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IFK ÖstersundDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| IFK ÖstersundDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BodenDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GottneDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| IFK LuleåDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| TäfteåDivision 2 - Norrland | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| LuckstaDivision 2 - Norrland | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Skellefteå’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Division 2 - Norrland — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Skellefteå are ranked 1 in Division 2: Norrland, with 27 points from 12 games.
IFK Luleå are ranked 3 in Division 2: Norrland, with 25 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 27 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 25 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 11 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 8 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 38 | -28 | 4 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.